Is "Don't be Evil" the same as "Be nice"?
Google is on top and making a grand profit. Now that the numbers for Google's profits are in, it's safe to predict that Google is on top of the search game for a long time to come. So, in the great American tradition of rooting for the underdogs, let's look at Google with the eyes of an underdog. What isn't Google?
Is Google nice? They aren't evil. This is enough, right?
It's a rare thing for corporations to have a double or triple bottom line. But can you say no to billions of dollars of profit when your corporate legal framework requires you to acquire business and grow? If google can only sustain the "not evil" phase that's a victory. Maybe if Google were "nice" they wouldn't survive.
Google is like an big school of fish. Not a predator or destroyer, just a large number of small transactions in co-ordinated activities. A big school of fish isn't evil right? Maybe it causes an imbalance in an ecosystem, and maybe it just doesn't know what it's doing yet - it's only a big school of fish after all. Good for them - procreate and go forth into the world, Google!
Will the evolution of the web require a change of technology or a change of ideas? Like the question of natural evolution - does it happen in big dramatic steps or slow incremental steps? I guess there are tipping points. I wonder if Google will hit the next tipping point.
Hear me now but believe me later!
There will be a new breed of search. New search will be "better" because it will be ... nicer. What if google was like CivicActions? Open source software, open standards, broad networks of people - alligned to progressing humanity. Ok, that's google-like enough. Just need to work on the definition of "progress". That's a lot for one company to manage.
The next generation of search, like now, will be the base of internet ecosystem. We aren't used to paying for the sun, we pay the farmer. We moved down and began to commidify a basic thing we do - remember and share. We entered a new world where good and evil hasn't been figured out. Soon, we'll be commodifying not only the information, but the knowledge itself, the intellegence. Don't feel bad for the unemployed experts and researchers?
One company, hoarding all human knowledge? Scanning all libraries? Go for it and brute force your way. Gather stats on EVERYTHING. Technology is a freight train. No need to stop it now - it's us. But "more", in the end, is not enough for a school of fish or us.
- Jonathan Hendler's blog
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Aren't Google's profits due to selling ads? How will the semantic web and RDF change the nature of commerce - and will Google be involved?
Good question.
Search: yes
Ad Revenue: yes
Google just released today a search engine that you can put on your own website (free with injected ads, but FREE for non-profits). Looks like they are afraid of NINA.
I think google is positioning themselves to be ready for the semantic web, where search engines and agents are distributed, but they still need to inject ads to maintain their business model. Google certainly has it's eye on the Semantic Web, but they have a good conservative approach to releasing products. They won't do it unless they have a business model around it some how.
The purchase of YouTube isn't just about video, it's about traffic and clicks - so in that sense, you're right, they are an advertising company.
I don't know all of what google is working on - but what google doesn't have is Everything. I believe Google is mainly trying to replace the Yellow Pages, which is what google maps helps them do. I think they can succeed there.
But search engine technology isn't where it could be. It's not like the Star Trek voice assist, and it's not like HAL. There's no HAL - just a lot of backlinking and statistics. This isn't google's fault - the content on the internet will have to change as well, in order to make it more amenable to being strucutured. Semantic Web is a step towards creating machine readable knowledge. Google has a big enough war chest to WIN. Semantic Web may become a buzzword for what will kind of happen anyway - much more organized information.
As a side note - before the word "Internet" In the late 1980s my grandfather who ran a printing company said that the future for printers and most engineers will be in "computer communications". He meant Internet. So when I say "Semantic Web" I might mean something else. ;)
Just wait for the 1~15 second contextual ads at the beginning and end of your YouTube Videos, or in the side bar.
That's my prediction. And google will share the revenue with you, or maybe even let you donate it to a charity!